basti313 wrote: ↑25 Mar 2020, 11:16
You realized, that they changed the criteria yesterday?
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This is not correct. The numbers are always counted on the day of the test, also if they are recorded later.
I only saw that they adjusted the criteria for who will get
tested - not who will be counted as a positive case - the adjusted criteria are supposed to lessen the burden on the labs.
From yesterday's [24.3.] daily briefing:
"Es werden nur Fälle veröffentlicht,
bei denen eine labordiagnostische Bestätigung unabhängig vom klinischen Bild vorliegt."
You understand it i guess but for the others:
"We only publish [in this context count] cases that have been confirmed in a lab, independent from the clinical symptoms"
Depends on what you look at, the RKI, yep, they count the cases towards the day the test was taken on. They now changed how they view the case numbers in their dashboard, it's the 'lag' i described with everything going through the official channels ('Meldeprozess') - the other dashboard to my understanding takes the numbers as they come, thus having different numbers for each day compared to the RKI numbers.
In monday's presser he explicitly mentioned that not all health offices and not all states had reported their numbers over the weekend.
In today's presser he described the entire 'Meldeprozess' (6:30 minutes into the video), and again confirmed what i mentioned about some local health authorities ['Gesundheitsämter'] not reporting their numbers over the weekend.
https://youtu.be/NFuIphb0WaU
He talked about the relatively low death numbers in Germany, something many have wondered about.
- they don't know exactly why that is the case
- it's definitely not underreporting
- Germany managed to 'find' or confirm many mild cases
- low number of old people infected (from the dashboard it's at around 1000 of 80+yo)
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Capharol wrote: ↑25 Mar 2020, 13:44
in Germany they process 1200 tests a day
Where'd you get that number?
According to the RKI it currently is at around 160000 a week (~22800 per day) with testing capacities being expanded continuously.
There have been 35000 tests in the first week of March, from the 9th to the 15th it was 100000 tests, those numbers do not include tests done in hospitals.
Bavaria alone can do several thousand tests a day (up to 30k in 300 labs)
A single lab can process 100 tests per day.
The labs are still overburdened for various reasons - that's what Phil has already mentioned in this thread.
sources:
https://www.quarks.de/gesundheit/medizi ... -der-test/
https://rp-online.de/nrw/staedte/leverk ... d-49272411
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The university clinic in Hamburg is working on a quick and cheap test for recovered cases, they believe that they can check whether someone had the virus and has developed antibodies - they will start using the test this friday.
They believe that first human vaccine trials could be done in June.
https://www.oldenburger-onlinezeitung.d ... 37342.html
https://www.bild.de/bild-plus/ratgeber/ ... .bild.html
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And properly on topic: Given how this all develops i wonder what the chances are that we will have a season spanning two years?
They could run the races normally once it's possible and then do the early races that had to be canceled next year (the main issue being contracts etc).