FittingMechanics wrote:Why do you guys think Ferrari can just jump back in top 3? Is the idea that FIA crippled Ferrari's engine which was optimized to "cheat" and that now that they won't use fuel flow shenanigans they will jump back in power? As in the engine was suboptimal to run on normal fuel flow? I don't know, I find it strange that Ferrari used fuel flow shenanigans and that when they were banned, they lost a significant amount of power. While I understand the funding and motivation they have to catch up, engines usually don't jump from 4th best to the best or second best in a season.
My expectation is that Ferrari will close the gap, but they will still remain midfield. I am most concerned with Aston Martin. While I don't respect their copy cat design of last years car, it did allow them to bring their design up to state of the art. With new mechanical bits they got from Mercedes, some of their own design work (they usually developed well on small budget in the past) and potentially much better understanding of this Mercedes concept car, they are the team that worries me the most for McLaren.
Red Bull unless Honda suffers serious reliability issues is likely uncatchable. Mercedes the same.
Why Ferrari can jump back into the top 3? There are 500+ million reasons for it... The reality is that they have had the resources all through 2020 and without been able to work on the 2022 cars, I expect them to have focus on their 2021 car as much as possible so that they can change rapidly into 2022 (which they may have done so already).
Yes, they didn’t had a great car in 2020, but they still have the capability and skill in the team to bring a good / great car to the grid... Underestimating them would be a big mistake in my opinion... And that’s not considering that if they have “solved” their engine issues and now are on par or close to the rest instead of clearly behind, they will be in the fight... We saw last year that even when they had an engine handicap, Leclerc placed that car sometimes ahead of the midfield.
Finally, we still haven’t seeing the cars on track, so it is still a guessing game in regards to who adapted to the changes in regulations the best, I do expect Mercedes and RBR to continue to be at the front of the grid, simply because last season they still had more resources than the rest of the grid and therefore more brain power to deal with the new regulations.
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