.Bole wrote: ↑28 Jul 2024, 20:17
I dont think new upgrades are gonna help, as team looks currently headless in terms of development and other stuff. Stories also that Vasseur are telling are very Binottoesque.
Not to mention other teams are not sitting with their hands tied, they are also developing, and we already spent quiet a big part of budget on upgrade that doesnt work.
I don't think you are following the development race very carefully tbh.
McLaren brought track-specific updates since Miami and skipped on Silverstone update, which is quite telling. They brought one update regarding diffuser since Miami and a minor update for the front wing. That's it for the biggest updates since Miami. They obviously avoid bringing updates they aren't sure will work and because of that they can fine tune their car to perfection on every track since Imola basically. They have a lot of room in their budget for new parts, but they aren't using it
Mercedes brought a new package and had to abandon it immediately as it did not correlate well at all, they have very little information on it and will have a hard time extracting 100% certain conclusion about it after 2 hours on track on Friday. They have brought new parts almost every race this season. They can't keep this pace up for long, if their Spa parts can't be used their next upgrade will definitely be their last and they will start dropping back in the final third of the season like last year.
Red Bull keeps bringing small updates and they rarely deliver as much as they hoped for and they keep bringing them very often. They are in trouble, pressure is building up and if Max doesn't win in Zandvoort all hell will probably break loose. I don't see Norris being capable of picking up the pieces, he's fallen apart completely after Austrian race, so Max will still win his title. So who cares?
McLaren copied RB approach to the floor completely and are somehow making it work better. Are they doing some funny things with flexible floor connection to avoid plank wear and still ride it very low? Yes they are, there's a photo of their 4 massive flexible cushions on the front end of the floor. Is it legal? I can't see why any team would pass a chance to get McLaren design cleared with FIA, so McLaren wouldn't be running it if it isn't legal. In any case - that floor design is approaching it's development limit very fast, while Ferrari has a lot of room to make a few changes and improve even with this car.
Ferrari reportedly used 25% of dev budget for Imola package and another 25% for Barcelona and this is quite aligned with what we have seen in previous 2 seasons. They made small changes to the floor, which can't be more than 5-6% of dev budget and they are using all their new parts actively and they are definitely an improvement over Imola spec. Just compare Sainz' races in Silverstone and Spa. They have at least 40% more dev budget for 3rd big package and probably one final floor spec or a front wing update. Mechanical suspension components are much less costly to make when they are changing them and it's the same for all teams.
As for Vasseur and Binotto comparisons, they are deeply unfounded - to say the least. Binotto failed to protect the team from TD39 oscillation bouncing limits, which hurt them massively and rendered the best chassis to 3rd best at times after summer break. At the same time, he said there's no reason Ferrari can't win every race to the end
Binotto was de facto head of PU while he was TP as well, updated PU was detuned and worse than the launch spec in the end. 5 of 6 wins and an easy 1-2 in Silverstone Ferrari missed in 2022 are on him. How many wins did Vasseur's Ferrari miss? Did they ever have the best chassis overall since he took over? Let's not mix apples and oranges, thank you
dialtone wrote: ↑29 Jul 2024, 02:30
Saying “we have the 4th best car” on repeat doesn’t add any information to the discussion. People have eyes and can see it, it’s not a topic in contention.
It's not even a 4th best car at all, shared 3rd at worst. Mercedes was slower in Hungary but Hamilton had track position and not even Verstappen could go around. In Spa Mercedes used a higher downforce package than others (equivalent to Jeddah-spec and others went lower), Hamilton was smart to be aggressive at the start to put Leclerc behind him and get out of DRS zone in S2 where he always had 6-7 tenths over Leclerc because of more downforce. Going with more downforce and without top speed advantage was how Max won last 2 races from behind
McLaren didn't open up a massive gap in Hungary and they couldn't easily jump others in Spa. They are not half a second ahead of others, we saw last year what it looks like with RB19. When they are behind, they suffer just like others, when they get clear air they start using tyres and PU more just like others.
Sainz wasn't bad yesterday, but he wasn't spectacular and he still dropped his pace by a full second after getting clear air in first stint and kept it for 8 laps. Contrary to that, Piastri dropped his pace by only half a second in second stint and kept if for 4 laps. Sainz' pace improvement was far more impressive in every way