Alonso charge? at Monaco?
1st off there is no rain, so that means he will need to be at least 2.5 seconds quicker than guy in front to get a sniff of an overtake.
2nd Its Monaco, overtaking 1 car usually means risking a front wing or a little bang on the barrier.
He has 13 cars he needs to overtake before he can score a single point So even if he manges 6-7 and other fall off the road due to monaco's high attrition rate, he will be taking huge risks to earn small rewards.
IF there is an accident and it wipes out half the top 10, then I would say alonso is in with a chance. As it stands, Im gonna say 8th is the absolute best he can hope for if there is a low retirement rate.