When the qualifying performances are analyzed, between Ferrari and Red Bull for the entire year, it is clear that Ferrari has had a considerable advantage of around 8 tenths to a second. It's another story that Ferrari didn't manage put a good show in China and their drivers screwed up the qualifying. But the gap has been quite large, more so in Bahrain and Russia. They should have every reason to feel confident for the next few races, with upcoming power hungry circuits.
Now, with Renault having brought an upgrade, which is rumored to be giving half a second advantage over a lap (still remains to be seen), the gap wouldn't really diminish, unless Red Bull introduces a dramatic upgrade on the chassis. Just with PU upgrade, the gap would still be somewhere around 3 tenths to half a second.
There is no real reason for Ferrari to be concerned, unless they continue to surprise themselves with their unique ways of screwing themselves. If they can manage to keep their heads in the right place, they should return from Montreal with rich haul of points. Definitely more than Red Bull.
Needless to say, Mercedes would be in a league of their own here.
Oh, come Q3, lightening strikes on Lewis' car OR he would probably have a losely fitted exhaust pipe this time OR water gets leaked under his seat and Toto comes out and says, "Both caaarsss (read in his accent) had probllems, more so on Lewis than Nico's" !!!
